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Wednesday, July 18, 2018

MANAGING DIRECTOR:
Scott Carrithers
 
PORTFOLIO SALES AND SERVICE:
Steve Panknin • George Morris • Jeff Goble • Chris Thompson • Sean Doherty
Kevin Doyle • Lonnie Harris •  Mark Tranckino 
Robert Schuyler • Tom Toburen • Josh Kiefer
 Nicole Burczyk • Kelley Frye • Natalie Regan • Aaron Stoffer • Chuck Honeywell • Gus Koppen

US Treasury Market

Date 1 mo 3 mo 6 mo 1 yr 2 yr 3 yr 5 yr 7 yr 10 yr 20 yr 30 yr
7/11/18 1.89 1.97 2.14 2.36 2.58 2.67 2.74 2.82 2.82 2.89 2.95
7/12/18 1.89 1.98 2.17 2.39 2.60 2.68 2.75 2.83 2.85 2.89 2.95
7/13/18 1.87 1.98 2.16 2.37 2.59 2.66 2.73 2.80 2.83 2.87 2.94
7/16/18 1.90 2.01 2.19 2.39 2.59 2.67 2.75 2.82 2.85 2.90 2.96
7/17/18 1.93 2.02 2.19 2.39 2.62 2.69 2.76 2.83 2.86 2.91 2.97

                                                                                      Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury, as of 07/17/2018 


High Coupon, Worth the Premium?

Many investors have started purchasing high coupon pools (4 %+) at a premium to protect against market value losses in the portfolio as interest rates rise.   Often these products carry high premiums that you typically would amortize to the average life. 

Below we will compare a 15 YR 3.5% Coupon Pool to a longer higher coupon 4.5% pool.   This 4.5% Freddie pool has a dollar price of 105-08 (105.25). Some higher coupon pools may be offered to banks in the 108-110 dollar price range.  When evaluating the security, it is important to take into consideration the amount you will have to amortize each year. 

 
  FG G18702 FG G61352
Coupon 3.5 4.5
Maturity Date 8/1/2033 12/1/2045
Average Life 5.39 6.62
Duration 4.7 5.41
Yield 3.17 3.54
Dollar Price 101-16+ 105-8

3.5% Coupon Freddie Pool:


Source: Bloomberg 7/17/2018 @ 2:37pm


4.5% Coupon Freddie Pool:


Source: Bloomberg 7/17/2018 @ 2:37pm

Some investors may prefer the lower premium offered in the 3.5% coupon pool.  Other investors may consider taking on additional 1.3 duration to pick up an additional 36bps.  I’d invite you to discuss the suitability of the offerings with your Capital Markets Group representative.
 


This information is intended for institutional investors only. The material provided in this document/presentation is for informational purposes only and is intended solely for private use. Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instruments.

•Not FDIC Insured •No Bank Guarantee •May Lose Value